Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.027682 0.029728 0.031787 0.034012 0.036345 0.038717 0.041307
2026-02-08 0.023709 0.026886 0.030202 0.033911 0.037931 0.042148 0.046893
2026-02-15 0.021245 0.025051 0.029128 0.033798 0.038976 0.044519 0.050878
2026-02-22 0.019394 0.023647 0.028307 0.033751 0.039900 0.046592 0.054388
2026-03-01 0.017684 0.022242 0.027337 0.033399 0.040357 0.048041 0.057113
2026-03-08 0.016030 0.020775 0.026183 0.032727 0.040354 0.048890 0.059090
2026-03-15 0.014571 0.019439 0.025091 0.032040 0.040256 0.049565 0.060811
2026-03-22 0.013998 0.019122 0.025162 0.032683 0.041675 0.051962 0.064498
2026-03-29 0.013215 0.018497 0.024819 0.032795 0.042438 0.053576 0.067263
2026-04-05 0.012419 0.017809 0.024359 0.032727 0.042956 0.054880 0.069651
2026-04-12 0.011939 0.017492 0.024332 0.033168 0.044070 0.056879 0.072855
2026-04-19 0.011290 0.016923 0.023960 0.033156 0.044613 0.058183 0.075228
2026-04-26 0.010624 0.016335 0.023581 0.033170 0.045243 0.059668 0.077924
2026-05-03 0.009950 0.015711 0.023140 0.033099 0.045774 0.061051 0.080531
2026-05-10 0.009316 0.015105 0.022690 0.032986 0.046227 0.062322 0.082991
2026-05-17 0.008759 0.014573 0.022310 0.032941 0.046746 0.063661 0.085529
2026-05-24 0.008132 0.013907 0.021721 0.032594 0.046859 0.064480 0.087419
2026-05-31 0.007439 0.013110 0.020920 0.031934 0.046540 0.064739 0.088597
2026-06-07 0.006795 0.012347 0.020131 0.031259 0.046175 0.064915 0.089657
2026-06-14 0.006623 0.012282 0.020311 0.031891 0.047518 0.067260 0.093440
2026-06-21 0.006297 0.011964 0.020119 0.032001 0.048166 0.068717 0.096109
2026-06-28 0.005938 0.011576 0.019808 0.031934 0.048569 0.069853 0.098373
2026-07-05 0.005747 0.011443 0.019861 0.032368 0.049639 0.071852 0.101741